Analytical Notes
Understanding China’s Low Inflation Challenge
January 13, 2025
This analytical note provides a deep dive into the issue of low inflation in China.
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Understanding China’s Low Inflation Challenge
ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office
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Analytical NotesUnderstanding Currency Carry Trades: The Yen Carry Trade and Its Impact on ASEAN+3 Economies
December 19, 2024
Currency carry trade has come under the spotlight following a sharp appreciation of the Japanese yen in early August.
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BlogsWhat is Driving the Ringgit’s Comeback?
November 15, 2024
In recent months, the ringgit has emerged as the best-performing currency in the region. What caused the ringgit’s rebound and will its rally sustain?
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Working PapersMonitoring Privately-held Firms’ Default Risk in Real Time: A Signal-Knowledge Transfer Learning Model
June 12, 2024
This paper develops a mixed-frequency, tree-based, gradient-boosting model designed to assess the default risk of privately held firms in real time.
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Working PapersA Large Open Economy Model to Assess Macroeconomic Policy Performance in Japan
June 5, 2024
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model representing several key characteristics of Japan, namely, a large open economy,
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BlogsEmbracing Change: The Case for Secular Tightening at the Bank of Japan
May 20, 2024
In March, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) terminated its nearly decade-long unconventional monetary policy framework, characterized by massive asset purchases, negative interest rate, and yield curve control (YCC) policy.
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Working PapersA Small Open Economy Model to Assess Macroeconomic Policy Performance: The Case of Korea
April 17, 2024
This paper estimates and simulates a small open economy model for assessing Korea’s monetary and fiscal policy performance between 2005 and 2022.
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Working PapersPost-COVID Central Bank Balance Sheet Normalization and Its Implications: The Case of ASEAN-4 Economies
April 15, 2024
This paper sheds light on pandemic-related central bank balance sheet tools and ensuing normalization, with a particular focus on ASEAN-4 economies.
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DatabasesCapital Flow Management and Macroprudential Policy Measures in the ASEAN+3
March 7, 2024
This database presents a summary of the capital flow management and macroprudential policy measures deployed by each ASEAN+3 member economy since the 1990s or 2000s.
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Working PapersA Small Open Economy Model to Assess Macroeconomic Policy Performance: The Case of the Philippines
February 29, 2024
This paper develops a prototype macroeconomic model for assessing monetary and fiscal policy in the Philippines.
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