Macroeconomic Impacts of Trump 2.0 Tariffs on China: A Model-Based Assessment
April 23, 2025
This analytical note presents a model-based analysis of the potential impact of tariff policies under Trump’s second administration.
April 23, 2025
This analytical note presents a model-based analysis of the potential impact of tariff policies under Trump’s second administration.
April 15, 2025
Allen Ng, Andrew Tsang, Anthony Tan, Byunghoon Nam, Catharine Kho, Chunyu Yang, Fan Zhai, Haobin Wang, Jade Vichyanond, Jinho Choi, Jungsung Kim, Lay Lay Aung, Megan Chong, Naoaki Inayoshi, Nguyen Thi Kim Cuc, Pim-orn Wacharaprapapong, Poh Lynn Ng, Seung Hyun (Luke) Hong, Tanyasorn Ekapirak, Vanne Khut, Wanwisa May Vorranikulkij, Wee Chian Koh, Xianguo (Jerry) Huang, Yuhong Wu
The ASEAN+3 region maintained stable growth of 4.3 percent in 2024 despite various uncertainties and is positioned to remain resilient.
February 27, 2025
Anthony Tan, Fan Zhai, Suan Yong Foo, Vanne Khut
This study examines the implications of the EU’s CBAM on key sectoral exports and renewable energy investments in ASEAN economies engaged in the BRI.
September 2, 2024
This paper investigates the macroeconomic impacts of China’s population aging using a global computable general equilibrium model with overlapping generations.
April 19, 2024
China’s demographic profile is now transitioning from being a dividend to a drag on the economy. This shift carries profound implications for the country’s economic trajectory.
March 7, 2024
Andrew Tsang, Diana del Rosario, Fan Zhai, Jade Vichyanond, Jinho Choi, Justin Lim, Kimi Xu Jiang, Nguyen Thi Kim Cuc, Paolo Hernando, Suan Yong Foo, Tanyasorn Ekapirak, Tolakham Vann, Vanne Khut, Wanwisa May Vorranikulkij, Yoki Okawa
This database presents a summary of the capital flow management and macroprudential policy measures deployed by each ASEAN+3 member economy since the 1990s or 2000s.
February 27, 2024
Chiang Yong (Edmond) Choo, Cho Nwe Aung, Fan Zhai, Jae Young Lee, Jungsung Kim, Suan Yong Foo, Vanne Khut
The Hong Kong economy is poised to sustain its steady recovery, moving towards trend growth this year.
February 5, 2024
Fan Zhai, Hongyan Zhao, Jae Young Lee, Ke Ji, Pim-orn Wacharaprapapong, Siang Leng Wong, Suan Yong Foo
China’s economy is expected to continue to recover, returning to its trend trajectory in 2024.
December 12, 2023
This note examines China’s long-term growth prospects within the dynamics of its rapid demographic transition.
February 24, 2023
Fan Zhai, Jae Young Lee, Suan Yong Foo
The past several years have been very difficult for Hong Kong due to a series of shocks ranging from domestic unrest to U.S.-China tensions and the COVID-19 pandemic.