ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026

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PRESS RELEASE

ASEAN+3 Confronts Severe Energy Shock from a Position of Strength

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Statement by AMRO Director/CEO Yasuto Watanabe on the Launch of ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026

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The ASEAN+3 Economic Outlook: From Tariff Shock to Energy Shock

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AMRO’s 2025 Annual Consultation Report on Korea

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ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2026

ASEAN+3 Confronts Severe Energy Shock from a Position of Strength

The ASEAN+3 region expanded by 4.3 percent in 2025, outperforming expectations despite the most significant shift in global trade policy in decades. The region continues to face substantial uncertainties and headwinds, but enters this period from a position of relative strength.

Looking ahead, ASEAN+3 is projected to grow 4.0 percent in both 2026 and 2027. While the region has been supported by stronger-than-expected growth, low inflation, and improved external buffers, the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and disruptions to the global energy supply have materially increased downside risks to the outlook.

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