Chinese economy to remain resilient amid risks from trade tensions and COVID-19 outbreak

The Chinese economy is expected to remain resilient in the face of challenging conditions stemming from a global economic slowdown, the U.S.-China trade tensions, the country’s financial deleveraging process, and the recent COVID-19 outbreak.

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China: Growth Remains Resilient Despite Headwinds from Global Slowdown and Trade Tension

The Chinese economy is expected to remain resilient in 2019 and 2020, supported by strong policy responses to mitigate external and domestic risks. This is according to the preliminary assessment by the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) after its Annual Consultation Visit during July 8 to 16, 2019.

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East Asia: Building Resilience, Capacity, and Connectivity amidst Volatility

Strengthening regional financial safety nets and ensuring a smooth transition into the new economy are pertinent to the economic stability and well-being of the ASEAN+3 region. This was highlighted across all three outreach events the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) held in Australia.

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Watch: ASEAN+3’s Regional Economic Outlook: Macroeconomic Prospects and Challenges

Watch this two-minute video to discover the macroeconomic prospects for the ASEAN+3 region and baseline risks that can affect the regional growth. The video also presents policy recommendations to policymakers to manage risks while maintaining financial stability.

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ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook 2019: Key Messages

The ASEAN+3 region remains resilient, anchored by sustained domestic demand. Regional growth is expected to moderate slightly to 5.1 percent this year, and 5.0 in 2020, reflecting mostly the drag from exports, given the cyclical slowdown in the tech/capex cycle and lingering uncertainties from the U.S.-China trade negotiations.

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