What Does the Real-Time Shipping ’Crystal Ball’ Tell Us about the Recovery in ASEAN+3 Trade?

The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how quickly the economic situation can change. In a few short months, ASEAN+3 trade has evolved from the downturn as a result of the US-China trade tensions; to nascent recovery on the back of the Phase One deal; to a sudden stop as the coronavirus spread and the region went into lockdown; to trade diversion as importers and exporters of intermediate and final goods sought to diversify their sources and markets; and more recently, rebounding as economies gradually reopened.

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