Monthly Update of the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook (AREO) – March 2019

Global markets rebounded, with volatility continuing to recede going into March, attributable to growing optimism surrounding the U.S.–China trade deal. U.S. employment growth fell sharply in February, signaling a slowdown in economic activity in the first quarter.

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From Shanghai to Gansu: Growing Regional Disparities in China – Causes and Remedies

While the Chinese economy has prospered with per capita income increasing by almost 60 folds over the past 40 years since the commencement of reforms and opening-up in 1978, income disparities among different regions have also become more stark.

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Lao PDR: Continued Fiscal Consolidation and Structural Reforms Needed to Build Buffers and Sustain Growth

AMRO Director Dr Junhong Chang (fourth from left) and Chief Economist Dr Hoe Ee Khor (third from left) and the Lao PDR team pose with H.E. Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance Mr. Somdy Douangdy (center) and LMOF staff after the courtesy meeting.

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Japan: Moderate Growth and Inflation amid External Risks and Long-term Challenges

The Japanese economy is expected to maintain moderate growth around its potential amid headwinds from global trade conflicts and domestic structural challenges, according to the 2018 Annual Consultation Report on Japan published by the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) today.

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Monthly Update of the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook (AREO) – February 2019

As expected, the Fed decided to keep its policy rate on hold (at 2.25–2.5 percent) at the January 30 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and has also signaled that it will pause interest rate hikes and be flexible in normalizing its balance sheet as it seeks to ensure maximum employment and price stability.

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AMRO’s 2018 Annual Consultation Report on China

The Chinese economy continues its moderating trend and growth is expected to moderate further to 6.2 percent in 2019 from 6.6 percent in 2018 due to structural adjustment, deleveraging, and headwinds from the trade war with the U.S. The U.S.-China trade war has become one of the major risks for the Chinese economy, putting downward pressures on confidence, exports, and growth.

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