Is Japan at Risk of a Downgrade?

Japan’s sovereign credit rating could fall one to three notches in the coming decade if the government does not implement a credible fiscal consolidation plan. This risk, which the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) highlighted in its recent annual consultation report on the country, underlines the challenges facing Japanese policymakers at a time of mounting global economic turmoil.

Continue ReadingIs Japan at Risk of a Downgrade?

Japanese Regional Banks Pass Stress Tests. What Now?

Regional banks in Japan were struggling with structural challenges even before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. A shrinking pool of borrowers in an aging population, severe competition among banks, and a low interest rate environment held back the regional banks’ efforts to diversify their income sources and strengthen their financial performance. The pandemic only compounds their challenges.

Continue ReadingJapanese Regional Banks Pass Stress Tests. What Now?

Spillover across Sovereign Bond Markets between the US and ASEAN-4 Economies

As the financial markets in ASEAN-4 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand) are influenced by the US in both real and financial channels, the return and volatility spillovers between the US and the ASEAN-4 bond markets have raised the attention of the investors and the policymakers.

Continue ReadingSpillover across Sovereign Bond Markets between the US and ASEAN-4 Economies