June 25, 2026
This working paper studies a global banking-sector default cycle constructed from firm-level probabilities of default across a broad set of countries.
May 13, 2026
Japan currently does not face immediate financing stress. The structure of the JGB market remains favorable.
February 12, 2026
Japan’s GDP growth is projected to strengthen to 1.2 percent in 2025, before easing to 0.8 percent in 2026.
December 4, 2025
This paper explores how integrating artificial intelligence into a general equilibrium framework can enhance theoretical modeling.
November 3, 2025
This paper develops and applies a portfolio-based framework for assessing systemic risk in cross-border banking networks.
September 15, 2025
This working paper examines whether artificial intelligence models could forecast policy rates accurately.
May 29, 2025
Japan’s economy is deeply connected to global trade, making the movement of the Japanese yen a key factor in shaping inflation, trade competitiveness, and economic growth.
April 17, 2025
This paper examines Japan’s fiscal position from the perspectives of the standard debt sustainability analysis and the asset pricing approaches.
April 8, 2025
The unwinding of yen-funded carry trades presents both risks and opportunities for ASEAN+3 economies.
March 4, 2025
The Japanese economy is projected to grow at 1.3 percent in 2025. While inflation has eased, it is expected to remain above the Bank of Japan’s target.
